| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlotte wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which spread outcome will occur in the Miami at Charlotte game; it matters because spreads capture expectations about the margin of victory and game dynamics between the two clubs.
The market refers to the Miami team visiting Charlotte, a matchup that in recent years has featured differing styles of play and varying home-court advantages. Historical head-to-head trends, travel and schedule congestion, and roster continuity have all influenced past spread outcomes between these teams. Betting and market interest in spreads centers on projecting the final scoring margin rather than simply which team wins.
Market prices summarize the crowd’s view about which margin band is most likely to occur; a given outcome’s price reflects how traders collectively assess matchups, injuries, rest, and other information relevant to the final scoring margin. Interpreting prices as consensus expectations—as opposed to guarantees—helps users understand market signals.
The market's close time is set by the platform and may be listed as TBD; typically spread markets close shortly before game tip-off but you should check the KALSHI market page for the official close time and any last-minute updates.
This market is divided into a fixed number of spread outcomes (four in this instance), each representing a predetermined margin range. At settlement, the official final score margin determines which range is the winning outcome.
Settlement is based on the official final score as reported by the designated authoritative source; the outcome corresponding to the final margin range is declared winner and positions are settled according to the market rules and settlement timeline posted on the platform.
Announcements that alter expected scoring balance—such as a key starter being ruled out, a star player limited in minutes, or an unexpected roster change—are the most impactful. Also monitor confirmed starting lineups, rest declarations, and coaching rotation notes for both Miami and Charlotte.
Follow official team injury reports, verified beat reporters, and the platform’s realtime updates in the minutes before tip-off; prices can move rapidly after lineup confirmations or injury/inactive announcements, so have a plan for how close to start time you will trade and how much exposure you’ll accept to last-minute information.