| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins by over 2.5 goals | 47% | 45¢ | 46¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Bayern Munich wins by over 1.5 goals | 68% | 67¢ | 68¢ | — | $657 | Trade → |
| M´gladbach wins by over 2.5 goals | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $375 | Trade → |
| M´gladbach wins by over 1.5 goals | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the point-spread outcomes for the M´gladbach at Bayern Munich match; it matters because spread markets summarize collective expectations about how competitive the game will be.
Bayern Munich are typically one of the strongest clubs in their domestic competition while M´gladbach are a competitive opponent that can challenge top teams on form days. Market activity on KALSHI (total volume traded noted on the event page) incorporates game-day information such as lineups, injuries, and breaking news that can materially shift expectations.
Prices in a spreads market map to the market-implied likelihood of each spread outcome; they move as new information arrives and as traders buy or sell exposure to particular margins of victory or defeat.
Each outcome corresponds to a defined range of final-margin results (spread legs). One outcome will resolve as true if the match margin falls inside its specified range; check the market details on the platform for the exact range definitions.
The event page currently shows the market closes as TBD. Markets like this typically lock at kickoff or earlier if the platform specifies; monitor the KALSHI market page for the official closing time and any updates.
Price moves reflect new information and trade flow — for example, lineup announcements, injury reports, weather, or large trades can shift prices. Rapid or large moves shortly before kickoff often follow definitive team news.
Absences of a team's primary goal threat or a central defender typically have the biggest impact on expected margin. For this match, a missing Bayern leading attacker or a missing M´gladbach defensive leader would be particularly influential.
Yes. Reported volume gives a sense of liquidity — lower volume can mean wider effective spreads and more price sensitivity to individual trades, while higher volume generally improves price stability. Use volume and the order-book depth on the platform to assess execution risk.