| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 goals scored | 22% | 21¢ | 27¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 goals scored | 0% | 82¢ | 86¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 0% | 62¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 goals scored | 0% | 40¢ | 42¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which total-goals outcome will occur in the Metz at Lens match on KALSHI; it matters to traders who want to take positions on match scoring rather than match winner. Markets like this aggregate information about team form, lineups, and conditions into a tradable view on goals.
Metz and Lens are French clubs whose matches can produce a wide range of scorelines depending on tactical setup and player availability. Historical head-to-head trends, recent scoring form, fixture congestion, and competition context (league vs cup) all shape expectations for how many goals the game will produce. Because both teams’ approaches and rosters can change rapidly, totals markets often move as new information emerges.
Market prices indicate the collective expectation of which total-goals bucket will occur and update with new information like team sheets and weather. Treat prices as dynamic signals reflecting current information rather than fixed forecasts.
It refers to which total-goals bucket the match will finish in (one of the four mutually exclusive ranges defined by the market); settlement is based on the official number of goals scored in the match as specified by the market rules.
A TBD close means the platform has not published the final trading cutoff time; traders should watch for the announced close (often tied to kickoff) and expect heightened price movement as the market approaches the platform’s announced close.
KALSHI defines four non-overlapping total-goals ranges for this market and the outcome that matches the official final-goal count is settled as the winning outcome; consult the event description on the platform for the exact bucket boundaries and settlement rules.
Late team news can materially change expectations about scoring: loss of attacking players typically lowers expected goals while defensive absences can increase them; markets often react quickly when official lineups or injury reports are posted.
Resolution depends on KALSHI’s event rules and the competition’s official determinations; most totals markets settle using the goals scored in regular time as recorded by official match authorities unless the platform specifies otherwise, and postponed or abandoned matches are handled according to the market’s contingency rules.