| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Creighton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Georgetown | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Marquette | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Seton Hall | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Providence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| St. John's | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UConn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Villanova | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Xavier | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Memphis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Richmond | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| St. Bonaventure | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Dayton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| VCU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Loyola Chicago | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Stanford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Notre Dame | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Pittsburgh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| North Carolina | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Virginia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Louisville | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Clemson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Miami (FL) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| SMU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Duke | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wake Forest | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Boston College | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Syracuse | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| North Carolina St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Virginia Tech | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Florida St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Houston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| BYU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Texas Tech | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kansas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Iowa St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Arizona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Baylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cincinnati | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Purdue | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Michigan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UCLA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Illinois | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ohio St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Michigan St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| USC | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Oregon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wisconsin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Iowa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Indiana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Colorado St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nevada | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Boise St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| San Diego St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Gonzaga | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| San Francisco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Florida | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kentucky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Arkansas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Alabama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tennessee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Auburn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Texas A&M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ole Miss | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Mississippi State | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Missouri | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Vanderbilt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Oklahoma | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Saint Mary's | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Vermont | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Bryant | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Liberty | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Eastern Kentucky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Montana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Weber St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| High Point | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UNC Asheville | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Winthrop | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UC Irvine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UC Santa Barbara | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Charleston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hofstra | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Western Kentucky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Oakland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Youngstown St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Yale | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Princeton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Iona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Fairfield | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Quinnipiac | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Howard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Drake | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Indiana St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Murray St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| FDU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Colgate | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Chattanooga | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Furman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| McNeese | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| South Dakota St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Oral Roberts | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Grand Canyon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Stephen F. Austin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Longwood | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wofford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| West Virginia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| TCU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kansas St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UC San Diego | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Santa Clara | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nebraska | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Saint Louis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Utah St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Miami (OH) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| South Florida | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| USC Upstate | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Gardner-Webb | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Charleston Southern | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Radford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Presbyterian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Queens University | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UMBC | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Idaho | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wright St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Siena | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Northern Iowa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| LIU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tennessee St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Lehigh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| North Dakota St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Troy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hawai'i | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Akron | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Prairie View A&M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Penn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wichita St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kennesaw St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| California Baptist | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UCF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Georgia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market aggregates trader expectations about which players or teams will reach the men's semifinals in the relevant tournament; it matters because it centralizes public information and real-time reactions to results, injuries, and draws.
Hosted on KALSHI, the market currently lists 117 distinct outcomes and has recorded $684,738 in traded volume, indicating broad participation and many possible qualifiers. The market's close and exact resolution timing are listed as TBD and will follow the tournament's official schedule and the market's rules once semifinalists are officially determined.
Market prices are a momentary consensus view reflecting available information and trader activity; interpret them as an evolving signal that updates as match results, injuries, and other developments occur.
The market close is listed as TBD; resolution will occur once the tournament organizer officially confirms the semifinalists and per KALSHI's stated resolution rules for this market. Check the market page and the tournament's official schedule for the exact timing as it becomes available.
The 117 outcomes correspond to individual players or teams (and any grouped or special outcomes the market creator included) who could plausibly reach the semifinals; view the full, regularly updated list on the market's outcomes tab on KALSHI.
Resolution follows the market's rules and the tournament's official results: a player who withdraws before qualifying will generally not be counted as a semifinalist, replacements or lucky losers may appear per tournament procedures, and retirements/walkovers are resolved according to the official match outcomes used by KALSHI.
High traded volume indicates stronger liquidity and greater trader engagement, which can make price movements more informative, but volume alone doesn't guarantee accuracy—combine volume signals with match results, injury reports, and expert analysis.
Changes are typically reflected quickly—often within minutes to hours—depending on how fast traders see and react to official match results and news; during busy match periods, expect rapid price movement as information arrives.