| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Creighton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Georgetown | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Marquette | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Seton Hall | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Providence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| St. John's | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UConn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Villanova | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Xavier | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Memphis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Richmond | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| St. Bonaventure | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Dayton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| VCU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Loyola Chicago | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Stanford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Notre Dame | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Pittsburgh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| North Carolina | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Virginia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Louisville | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Clemson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Miami (FL) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| SMU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Duke | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wake Forest | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Boston College | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Syracuse | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| North Carolina St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Virginia Tech | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Florida St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Houston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| BYU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Texas Tech | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kansas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Iowa St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Arizona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Baylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cincinnati | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Purdue | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Michigan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UCLA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Illinois | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ohio St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Michigan St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| USC | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Oregon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wisconsin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Iowa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Indiana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Colorado St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nevada | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Boise St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| San Diego St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Gonzaga | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| San Francisco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Florida | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kentucky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Arkansas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Alabama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tennessee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Auburn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Texas A&M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ole Miss | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Mississippi State | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Missouri | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Vanderbilt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Oklahoma | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Saint Mary's | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UCF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nebraska | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Miami (OH) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UC San Diego | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Santa Clara | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Saint Louis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| USC Upstate | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Gardner-Webb | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Charleston Southern | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Radford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Presbyterian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| High Point | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UNC Asheville | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Longwood | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Queens University | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UMBC | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Idaho | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hofstra | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wright St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Siena | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Howard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| LIU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tennessee St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Lehigh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Furman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| McNeese | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| North Dakota St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Troy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hawai'i | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Akron | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Northern Iowa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Prairie View A&M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Penn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Yale | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wichita St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| South Florida | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kennesaw St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| California Baptist | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Utah St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| TCU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Georgia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which men's college basketball team will be the national champion; it aggregates trader expectations and is useful as a real-time signal of how bettors view each team's chances.
The outcome is determined by the NCAA Division I men's basketball season and postseason tournament, an annual single-elimination competition that produces a national champion. The market lists many possible teams (77 outcomes at listing) to cover automatic qualifiers, at-large contenders, and play-in possibilities. KALSHI hosts trading on these outcome contracts so market prices evolve as games are played, injuries occur, and public information changes.
Prices on this market represent the collective assessment of which team will win the championship and will move with new information; they are a dynamic indicator, not a guarantee of future results.
The market resolves to the team officially recognized as the NCAA Division I men's basketball national champion after the championship game is completed and the governing body's official result is published; check the specific market contract for any platform timing or adjudication details.
The 77 outcomes typically represent individual teams, including placeholders for play-in winners and late qualifiers; markets normally do not add new teams after listing, so check the contract page to see how play-in and late-qualifier contingencies are handled.
Bracket position and seed affect perceived difficulty of a team’s path—higher seeds with easier draws often move more favorably, while a tough bracket or early matchup with a matchup nightmare can depress a team’s price regardless of regular-season record.
Prices react to game results, injury reports, lineup changes, and emerging narratives; high trading volume and new public information around tournament games lead to swift re-pricing as traders update expectations.
Significant roster or availability news is incorporated quickly because it materially changes a team’s championship prospects; traders typically move prices to account for the expected impact of such events on immediate performance and tournament viability.