| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jannik Sinner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexander Zverev | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Joao Fonseca | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jack Draper | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Arthur Fils | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ben Shelton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Alex de Minaur | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cameron Norrie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Karen Khachanov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sebastian Korda | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Taylor Fritz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Andrey Rublev | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tommy Paul | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Novak Djokovic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Casper Ruud | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Alexander Bublik | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Frances Tiafoe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jakub Mensik | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Learner Tien | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market allows traders to express beliefs about which player will win the Men's ATP Miami Open; it aggregates market participants' expectations across 26 named outcomes and is a quick way to track consensus about the tournament champion.
The Miami Open is an ATP Masters 1000 hard-court tournament held annually (typically in March) with a large draw and significant ranking points and prize money at stake. Its long history of top-ranked champions and variable outdoor hard-court conditions make it a key early-season event where form, draw luck, and fitness can rapidly reshape title chances.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders and update as new information arrives (match results, injuries, withdrawals, etc.). In a multi-outcome winner market, prices show relative market-implied support for each listed player rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific named player becoming the official ATP champion of the Miami Open; the market resolves to the single player listed as the tournament winner by the ATP.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event page; typically such markets close before or early in the tournament and resolve once the ATP officially declares the champion at tournament completion—check the Kalshi market page for the exact close and settlement times.
Handling depends on Kalshi's event rules: if a listed player withdraws before market close the outcome may be removed or voided; if a withdrawal occurs after close the market normally resolves based on the official tournament result, so consult the market's rulebook for precise treatment.
Significant movers include official injury updates or withdrawals, upset results in early rounds, practice reports for top contenders, changes to the draw, and scheduling or weather announcements that affect match timing and court conditions.
Use the market to monitor collective sentiment and to incorporate real-time information you may not have aggregated; combine that with analysis of draw, surface suitability, recent match footage, and medical updates, and manage exposure since markets reflect consensus but can shift quickly.