| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia wins 2nd half | 0% | 42¢ | 69¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins 2nd half | 0% | 28¢ | 58¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market determines which team — Memphis, Philadelphia, or a tied second half — will outscore the other in the second half of the specified game. It matters because second-half performance reflects halftime adjustments, bench contributions, and late-game execution, all of which can diverge from first-half trends.
The market focuses on the second 24-minute period of play as recorded in the official gamebook for the listed matchup on KALSHI. Historical head-to-head results and recent form can inform expectations, but outcomes hinge heavily on in-game developments such as rotations, injuries, and coaching adjustments at halftime.
Market odds reflect traders’ collective assessment of which of the three listed outcomes will occur; interpret them as a snapshot of consensus expectations rather than guarantees. For final resolution, rely on the market’s official rules and the league’s published second-half statistics.
It refers to which team scores more points during the second half of this specific game, as recorded in the official gamebook; because this market lists three outcomes, the possible results are 'Memphis', 'Philadelphia', or a tied second half, subject to the market’s resolution rules.
Closing time is listed as TBD on the market page; resolution occurs after the game when the official league statistics for the second half are published. Check the KALSHI market description for the exact close and settlement policy once posted.
If the second half ends with both teams level on points, the 'Tie' outcome would be the winning outcome in markets that include that option; specific tie-resolution details (including whether overtime points are counted) are governed by the market’s official rules, so consult the KALSHI event terms.
Watch starter minutes and any early foul trouble, bench scoring trends, injury and availability news at halftime, coach substitutions and schematic changes, plus whether key shooters are finding rhythm or teams are committing turnovers.
The market is settled using the league’s official gamebook and box score for the second half plus any resolution rules published on the KALSHI event page; consult those official stat providers and the event terms for final authority.