| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | 0% | 2¢ | 60¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri State | 0% | 7¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations about the outcome of the Memphis vs Missouri State game; it matters because collective market beliefs can summarize available public information about the matchup.
Memphis and Missouri State are NCAA Division I programs from different conferences (Memphis in the American Athletic Conference, Missouri State in the Missouri Valley Conference), so meetings are typically non-conference matchups or postseason pairings. Because the teams do not play each other regularly, recent roster changes, scheduling context, and single-game dynamics often matter more than long-term rivalry history.
Market prices reflect the aggregated views of participants and move as new information arrives (injuries, starting lineups, travel, etc.); they are indicators of belief, not guarantees of outcome.
The market close is listed as TBD; check the KALSHI market page for the official closing time, which will determine the last moment at which trades can be placed.
This event lists two mutually exclusive outcomes, typically corresponding to each team winning the game (e.g., 'Memphis wins' and 'Missouri State wins'); confirm the exact wording and resolution rules on the market page.
Head-to-head history can provide context but is often less relevant than current-season rosters, injuries, and recent performance because these teams do not meet frequently; prioritize up-to-date team-level and player-level data.
Watch for the status of each team’s starting point guard and primary scorer(s), any suspensions or injury designations, depth and bench usage, and late adjustments to starting lineups announced shortly before tip-off.
Last-minute developments tend to move market prices quickly as participants update positions; the magnitude of movement depends on liquidity and how impactful the news is perceived to be, so monitor official team updates and be aware that prices can change rapidly close to game time.