| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 Points | 49% | 48¢ | 50¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 18.5 Points | 11% | 10¢ | 14¢ | — | $605 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 Points | 32% | 27¢ | 31¢ | — | $222 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 21.5 Points | 7% | 7¢ | 9¢ | — | $192 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 3.5 Points | 34% | 31¢ | 34¢ | — | $144 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 15.5 Points | 18% | 13¢ | 17¢ | — | $102 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 9.5 Points | 15% | 15¢ | 18¢ | — | $53 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 6.5 Points | 22% | 22¢ | 26¢ | — | $23 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 Points | 46% | 38¢ | 40¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 12.5 Points | 29% | 20¢ | 25¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 12.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the point-spread outcome for the Memphis at Philadelphia game; it matters because the spread encodes market expectations about the margin of victory and informs how bettors and analysts view the matchup.
Memphis and Philadelphia are established NBA franchises with differing styles of play and typical home-court effects; matchup dynamics, recent form, and roster availability have historically driven spread movement between these teams. Because spreads reflect both on-court matchup factors and market sentiment, they can shift quickly as new information appears.
Market prices here represent the consensus view of traders about which side will cover the spread and by how much; treat prices as a live indicator that updates when meaningful news (injuries, lineup changes, rest) or trading flow occurs.
This market lists 10 distinct spread outcomes. The official close time is listed as TBD on the market page, so check the KALSHI market description and announcements for the final close time.
Resolution follows the platform’s stated rules and the market’s contract text. Consult KALSHI’s resolution policy and the specific market description for the criteria used in postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Confirmations about the availability of each team’s primary scorers, playmakers, or key defenders — and any late-game scratches — are the most impactful. Significant rotations changes or suspensions also shift spread expectations.
Late lineup changes and announced minute reductions often trigger rapid price adjustments; because many traders react immediately, expect sharper movement in low-liquidity markets and more muted shifts where volume is higher.
Relatively low traded volume indicates fewer participants and potentially less stable prices, so interpret the market signal with caution and combine it with independent analysis of matchups, injuries, and scheduling.