| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota wins by over 15.5 Points | 46% | 45¢ | 46¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 12.5 Points | 57% | 56¢ | 57¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 30.5 Points | 14% | 12¢ | 13¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 18.5 Points | 37% | 38¢ | 40¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 27.5 Points | 19% | 18¢ | 21¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 9.5 Points | 67% | 64¢ | 67¢ | — | $257 | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 6.5 Points | 75% | 73¢ | 76¢ | — | $102 | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 3.5 Points | 82% | 80¢ | 82¢ | — | $37 | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 24.5 Points | 0% | 24¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 21.5 Points | 0% | 30¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread will resolve for the Memphis at Minnesota game, letting traders express expectations about the margin of victory. It matters because spread markets aggregate information about team strength, injuries, and situational factors into a single, tradable view.
Memphis (Grizzlies) and Minnesota (Timberwolves) typically feature contrasting styles: Memphis often emphasizes pace and guard play, while Minnesota mixes wing scoring with inside production. Home-court, recent form, and roster health have historically been key determinants when these teams meet, and late-breaking news frequently shifts expectations. Market prices reflect those dynamics as new information arrives before and during game day.
Prediction market odds for a spread represent the market’s consensus expectation about which side will cover and by how much; movement in prices indicates changing collective beliefs as news and bets arrive. Traders use those signals to gauge market sentiment and to identify where they disagree with prevailing views.
Close timing is set by the platform and typically occurs at or shortly before game tipoff; check the market page on KALSHI for the published close time for this specific event.
The outcome is based on the final game score margin: whether the team on the favored side wins by more than the spread or the underdog keeps it within the spread, as defined by the market’s posted spread rules.
Significant injuries typically shift expectations materially because they change offensive and defensive capabilities; market prices will usually adjust as official injury reports and lineup confirmations become available.
Yes — for standard spread markets the final margin includes any overtime scoring, so the overtime result is counted when determining whether the spread was covered.
Traders often review recent head-to-head games for matchup advantages (e.g., how each team defends the paint or defends perimeter shooters), coaching tendencies late in games, and any recurring advantages one team has exploited in prior meetings.