| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins by over 22.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur in the Memphis at Chicago game; it matters because traders can express expectations about the final margin between the two teams and react to game-day information.
This is an NBA matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Chicago Bulls presented as a multi-outcome spread market (11 discrete outcomes). The market will resolve based on the official final point differential; the listed close time is currently TBD, so participants should watch for platform updates and pregame locks.
Prices in this market reflect collective expectations about which margin interval the final score will fall into and will move as new information (injuries, lineups, rest) becomes available. Treat market prices as real-time indicators of expectations, not guarantees of outcomes.
Each outcome corresponds to a discrete interval of final point differentials (for example, ranges where Memphis wins by a certain number of points or Chicago wins by a certain number). The outcome whose interval contains the official final margin wins; if the final margin sits on a boundary, follow Kalshi's published resolution rules for ties or pushes.
'Closes: TBD' means the platform has not announced a fixed pregame close time; typically the market will resolve after the game ends and the league posts the official final score. Watch Kalshi for the exact closing time and any last-minute notices about when trading locks.
Significant injuries, rest decisions, or lineup changes generally move market prices because they alter expected margins; traders often react immediately to official injury reports and coach announcements in the hours and minutes before tip-off.
Head-to-head history provides context on matchup tendencies, but current-season form, roster changes, injuries, and recent performance metrics (offensive/defensive efficiency, pace) usually have greater predictive value for the upcoming game.
Settlement uses the league’s official final score after all regulation and any overtime periods; the point differential at the final whistle (including OT) determines which spread interval wins. If the league later amends the official score, Kalshi's resolution policy explains whether and how that affects the market outcome.