| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $431K | Trade → |
| Nicolas Mejia | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $262K | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which player will win the Mejia vs Basilashvili match; it matters because it aggregates real‑time sentiment about the matchup and provides a liquid way to express views on the result.
Mejia vs Basilashvili is a head‑to‑head tennis matchup between two touring professionals; outcomes are shaped by each player’s recent form, surface preference, and match fitness. The market is hosted on Kalshi and has attracted substantial volume ($693,464), indicating active participation and liquidity; the market close date is currently TBD.
Market odds reflect the collective expectation of traders at any given moment and will move as new information arrives (injury news, withdrawals, lineups, etc.). Treat the displayed odds as real‑time market sentiment rather than a guaranteed forecast.
The market lists two mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to which player wins the match: one outcome for Mejia to win and one outcome for Basilashvili to win; standard match-deciding procedures (including tiebreaks) are included in the result definition.
Settlement will be based on the official match result published by the tournament organizers or relevant governing body; the winning outcome will be the player officially recorded as the match winner once results are confirmed.
If a withdrawal or cancellation occurs before the match begins, settlement will follow Kalshi’s platform rules—which may void the market or resolve it according to the official tournament announcement—so check the event page and platform terms for the exact policy.
Watch head‑to‑head comparisons, recent match outcomes on the same surface, service hold/break statistics, medical bulletins or practice reports, and any changes to the match schedule that could affect rest and preparation.
The market close date is listed as TBD; typically markets close either at a scheduled pre-match time or when the contest starts, and settlement occurs after the official result is confirmed—monitor the Kalshi event page and official tournament communications for timing updates.