| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Diallo | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mattia Bellucci | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will win the second set of the Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo match on KALSHI. It matters because set-level markets isolate short-term match dynamics that can differ from full-match expectations.
Set betting focuses on a single set rather than the match as a whole; outcomes reflect in-match adjustments, momentum swings, and short-term physical condition. Bellucci and Diallo bring different playing styles and recent-match contexts that influence a single-set race more than an entire match. The market's official close time is listed as TBD, so monitor the platform for updates before trading.
Market odds represent the collective view of traders about who is more likely to win set 2 and will update as new information arrives. Use odds as a real-time signal of sentiment and new developments, not as guarantees of outcome.
The market's official close time is currently TBD. The exchange sets closing and any in-play trading windows; check the KALSHI event page and market details for real-time updates and final closure information.
Settlement is based on the official match score reported by tournament officials: the player who wins the second set is the winner. If the set is decided by a tiebreak, the player who wins that tiebreak is the set winner; the exchange will use the official scoreline for settlement.
Set 1 outcome influences momentum, tactical changes, and fatigue — factors that the market will price in once set 1 concludes. A physically draining or lopsided set 1 can materially change expectations for set 2 even though past results don't determine the next set outright.
Settlement follows KALSHI's official event rules. If the second set does not start or the match is abandoned before the set is completed, the exchange's stated policies determine whether the market is voided or otherwise settled; consult the platform rulebook or market notes for exact procedures.
Watch each player's serving and returning form, any medical timeouts or visible niggles, recent match durations and recovery time, historical second-set performance, and head-to-head or stylistic matchup notes. Once play begins, live stats such as first-serve percentage and break-point opportunities are especially informative for set-level decisions.