| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gentle Mates | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Team Liquid | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win Map 1 of the Masters Santiago match between Team Liquid and Gentle Mates; map outcomes matter because they determine momentum, pistol-round economy, and series trajectory in best-of formats.
Masters Santiago is a professional, map-based esports event where teams advance through a bracket by winning individual maps and matches. Team Liquid and Gentle Mates bring different regional styles and recent form histories; map 1 is often influenced by map pool, preparation, and early-round decision-making. Tournament format, official rules, and current rosters all shape how each side approaches the opening map.
Prediction market odds aggregate participant expectations about who will win Map 1 based on public information and trading activity; treat them as a dynamic, crowd-sourced signal that reflects evolving info (lineups, scrims, map picks) rather than a guaranteed outcome.
This market resolves to the official winner of Map 1 in the Team Liquid vs. Gentle Mates match at Masters Santiago, as reported by the event's official match admins or organizer.
The map veto process (the tournament's pick/ban procedure) determines which map is played first; teams with strong veto strategies may force favorable first maps or remove opponent comfort maps, which can materially change Map 1 outlook—check the event's published pick/ban rules for exact mechanics.
Any confirmed roster change or substitute announced before the match can change team chemistry and role assignments; prioritize official lineup announcements, recent performance of the incoming player on the selected map, and how quickly the team has practiced together.
Resolution follows the tournament and platform rules: markets typically settle according to the official match result or are voided/refunded if the map is not played or the organizer declares no result. Refer to Kalshi’s published settlement policy and the event's official statements for specifics.
Key stats include pistol-round win rates, first-kill (entry) and trade success on the particular map, utility effectiveness (smokes, flashes, grenades), and the performance of primary fraggers or in-game leaders—compare those metrics for each team's current lineup on the chosen map.