| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin wins by over 14.5 Points | 52% | 50¢ | 52¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Wisconsin wins by over 11.5 Points | 63% | 58¢ | 63¢ | — | $699 | Trade → |
| Wisconsin wins by over 17.5 Points | 42% | 36¢ | 42¢ | — | $588 | Trade → |
| Wisconsin wins by over 8.5 Points | 74% | 69¢ | 73¢ | — | $71 | Trade → |
| Wisconsin wins by over 5.5 Points | 77% | 78¢ | 82¢ | — | $46 | Trade → |
| Wisconsin wins by over 2.5 Points | 89% | 85¢ | 90¢ | — | $14 | Trade → |
| Wisconsin wins by over 20.5 Points | 27% | 26¢ | 31¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Maryland wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wisconsin wins by over 29.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wisconsin wins by over 23.5 Points | 0% | 18¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wisconsin wins by over 26.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market trades the point-spread outcome for the Maryland at Wisconsin game on KALSHI; it matters because it aggregates trader expectations about which team will cover various margin thresholds and provides a real-time signal of changing information ahead of kickoff.
Maryland and Wisconsin are conference opponents with different historical profiles: Wisconsin has often been a strong home team with a run-focused identity, while Maryland's results have varied by season and roster. Contextual factors such as each team's recent form, depth, and game location in Madison typically shape pregame expectations and line movement.
Market prices represent the collective market expectation about which spread outcome is most likely to occur and will move as new information arrives; interpret prices alongside volume and time-to-game to understand confidence and liquidity.
The market close is listed as TBD; typically these markets close at or shortly before game start or per the platform's announced cutoff—check the market page for the official closing time as it can change.
This market lists 11 distinct spread outcomes, each corresponding to a range of final-margin results (from Maryland winning outright to Wisconsin winning by larger margins); a traded outcome pays if the game's final score falls within that outcome's defined margin interval.
Settlement is based on the official final score reported by the league and typically includes overtime; the platform's settlement rules determine exact timing and tie-handling, so consult the market rules for specifics.
Track official injury reports and trusted beat reporting—starter absences or limited participation notably change expected scoring and game plans, and the market often moves quickly on confirmed news, so timing and credibility of information matter.
Total volume gives a sense of recent market activity: higher volume generally implies greater liquidity and more information reflected in prices, while modest volume (such as the current amount) can mean wider price swings from individual trades and less confidence that prices fully reflect all information.