| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm Jr | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Fearnley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player — Martin Damm Jr or Jacob Fearnley — will win the first set of their match. Set-1 markets matter because the first set often indicates momentum and can be traded separately from the match outcome.
Martin Damm Jr and Jacob Fearnley are professional tennis players competing in a match listed by the event organizer; users should consult the tournament page for round and surface details. Set-level markets isolate early-match dynamics and react quickly to serve performance, starting lineups, and in-play developments. Because the event closes time is listed as TBD, timing and available information may change up to match start.
Market prices represent the aggregate market expectation of which player will win the first set based on available public information (rankings, form, surface, injuries, etc.) and trader sentiment. Interpret prices as a snapshot of that consensus rather than an objective probability, and watch for rapid moves near the match start or during warmups.
The market settles on which player is recorded as the winner of the first completed set according to the official tournament result; if the first set is decided by a tiebreak, the tiebreak winner is the set winner.
Resolution depends on the platform's official rules: typically, a withdrawal before play begins results in voiding/return of stakes, a retirement after the completion of set 1 leaves the set result intact, and an abandoned or incomplete first set may lead to voiding—check KALSHI's resolution rules for this event.
Yes. If the first set is decided by a tiebreak, the player who wins that tiebreak is recorded as the winner of set 1 for settlement purposes.
'Closes: TBD' means the exact market close time has not been set on the event page; commonly such markets close at match start or at the start of the first set, but you should monitor the event page for the official closing time and any last-minute updates.
Check the tournament and surface, recent match results and fatigue, serve and return statistics (especially short-format metrics), any injury or withdrawal reports, head-to-head history if available, and pre-match indicators such as warmup reports and on-site conditions.