| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marquette | 0% | 32¢ | 46¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Providence | 0% | 51¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Marquette or Providence — will be leading at halftime in their matchup (with a third outcome for a tie). It matters for traders and fans who want to express or hedge views on early-game performance and how each team starts the contest.
Marquette and Providence are collegiate programs that often produce tightly contested first halves due to coaching emphasis on defenses, early-game adjustments, and starting lineup matchups. Historical head-to-head patterns, tempo preferences, and typical rotation choices by coaches shape how the opening period unfolds. Pre-game information such as starting lineups, injuries, and travel can materially change expectations for the first half.
Market prices reflect the collective expectation about which side will be leading at halftime and will move as new information arrives; they are a snapshot of market sentiment rather than a guaranteed outcome. Traders use prices to compare their own view of early-game factors and to enter or exit exposure to first-half outcomes.
The event page lists the close time as TBD; KALSHI typically sets the close at or shortly before the scheduled game start and will publish the final close time on the market page prior to trading.
The three outcomes represent: Marquette leading at halftime, Providence leading at halftime, and a tie at halftime. The settled outcome depends solely on the official halftime score recorded by the game authorities.
Settlement follows the official game scoring and league records; in the rare case of a dispute, KALSHI’s published settlement rules and official sources (league/official scorer) determine the final outcome.
Lineup and injury news that affect starters or primary possession creators tend to produce the largest immediate shifts because they directly change expected early rotations and matchups; last-minute changes close to tip-off are usually the most impactful.
Zero or low volume indicates limited liquidity, so prices can move substantially on relatively small orders and spreads may be wide; traders should be cautious with order size, monitor depth, and be prepared for greater volatility relative to high-volume markets.