| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fabian Marozsan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the two named competitors—Marozsan or Fonseca—will meet the event's defined resolution condition on KALSHI. It matters because head-to-head listings let traders express views about a single matchup or statistic and aggregate real-time information about the contest.
The listing names Marozsan and Fonseca as the two possible outcomes; the specific resolution criterion (e.g., match winner, who scores first, who records more of a particular stat) is set in the market description. Head-to-head markets focus attention on short-term factors—fitness, tactics, and match context—so historical reputation matters less than the information immediately surrounding the scheduled contest.
Market prices represent the trading market's consensus about which named competitor will satisfy the market's resolution terms; interpret them as a live synthesis of available information rather than a permanent prediction.
The market offers two named outcomes—Marozsan and Fonseca—and resolves according to the event's stated resolution criteria. Check the KALSHI event description for whether the market is about match result, a specific statistical threshold, first scorer, or another defined condition and for tie-break rules.
Close time is listed as TBD on the event page; the market resolves after the contest concludes and the official result relevant to the market criterion is available. KALSHI will update the event page with final close and resolution timing when confirmed.
Resolution follows KALSHI's published rules for postponement and cancellation: markets may be voided or resolved based on the event organizer's official result and any timeframe specified in the market terms. Consult the platform's dispute and resolution policy for the definitive procedure.
Monitor official lineups, pre-match press conferences, injury reports, recent match performances, tactical notes from coaches, and live match trackers. Map those facts to the market's specific resolution condition (for example, whether the player is likely to be in a position to score or influence the measured stat).
Use the official league or tournament website, the teams' official communications, and reputable sports data providers or live match services. For final resolution, rely on the event organizer's official match report and KALSHI's stated sources for settlement.