| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist | 0% | 32¢ | 46¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Merrimack | 0% | 50¢ | 64¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will be leading at halftime in the college basketball game between Marist and Merrimack. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game factors like starting lineups, tempo, and initial game plans rather than full-game adjustments.
Marist and Merrimack are mid-major programs with different styles of play; past meetings and conference schedules can shape expectations for pace and scoring in the opening 20 minutes. First-half outcomes are often driven by which team executes its opening possession plan, the availability of starters, and how coaches use early substitutions and timeouts. Because this market closes relative to the first half, late-breaking news (injuries, lineup changes, travel issues) can be especially important.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which side will be ahead at halftime; movement in prices typically signals new information hitting the market. Use the market price as a real-time indicator of sentiment, and cross-check it with publicly available facts like starter announcements and injury reports.
There are three outcomes: Marist leading at halftime, Merrimack leading at halftime, or the score being tied at halftime.
This market's close time is listed as TBD; check the Kalshi market page for the official close time. Many first-half markets close at or just before the scheduled start of the first half or kickoff, but confirm the exchange's posted close for this event.
A tie outcome is the game score being equal on the official scoreboard at the end of the first half. Settlement will follow the exchange's official resolution rules and the game’s official box score.
Resolution in those scenarios depends on the exchange's event rules; typically the market will be settled according to the platform's stated cancellation/postponement policy, so consult Kalshi's official rules for this market.
Monitor confirmed starter lists and any late scratches, injury reports released before tip, official travel or arrival notices, and coach statements about rotation or strategy for the opening minutes; these items tend to influence first-half expectations quickly.