| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack wins by over 3.5 Points | 54% | 53¢ | 54¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Merrimack wins by over 6.5 Points | 40% | 40¢ | 42¢ | — | $780 | Trade → |
| Merrimack wins by over 9.5 Points | 33% | 28¢ | 32¢ | — | $78 | Trade → |
| Marist wins by over 6.5 Points | 16% | 15¢ | 19¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| Marist wins by over 3.5 Points | 25% | 24¢ | 28¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| Merrimack wins by over 12.5 Points | 15% | 19¢ | 24¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| Marist wins by over 9.5 Points | 3% | 10¢ | 12¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Marist wins by over 12.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marist wins by over 18.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marist wins by over 15.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations about the point-spread outcome for the Marist at Merrimack game; spread markets matter because they aggregate public and private information about expected margin of victory.
Marist College (MAAC) and Merrimack College (NEC) are NCAA Division I programs that meet in regular-season play; differences in conference level, recent roster turnover, and coaching strategies shape how competitive the matchup is. The listing indicates Marist is the visitor at Merrimack, so venue and travel logistics are relevant to game dynamics.
Each outcome corresponds to a particular spread or spread range; market prices reflect how traders value the likelihood of each margin. Watch price movement as a signal that new information (injuries, lineup news, betting flow) is being incorporated.
The market's close time is listed as TBD on the market page; many spread markets close shortly before tip-off to prevent wagering on information that isn't public, so check the market header for the exact closing timestamp.
Each of the ten outcomes maps to a specific point-spread bucket (a single spread or a range of margins). The market page labels show the exact boundaries for each outcome; settlement depends on the official final margin reported by the game.
Resolution follows the platform's published event rules; commonly, markets are voided, paused, or settled based on the league's official determination if a game is postponed, canceled, or forfeited—check KALSHI’s resolution policy linked on the market for specifics.
Many spread markets use the official final score (which includes overtime) unless the market explicitly states 'regulation only.' Verify the market's settlement rules or platform guidance to confirm.
Rapid price movement typically means traders are incorporating new information; treat the move as a signal but confirm the injury from official team sources and observe whether the change persists before assuming it reflects a lasting shift in expected margin.