| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Pinto by Decision | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Felipe Franco by Submission | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mario Pinto by Submission | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mario Pinto by KO/TKO/DQ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Draw | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Felipe Franco by KO/TKO/DQ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Felipe Franco by Decision | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco bout will be decided — e.g., by knockout, submission, decision, or another official result — and matters because method markets capture stylistic matchups and finishing risk beyond just who wins.
Method-of-victory markets are common for combat events and remain sensitive to fighter styles, recent form, and in-camp developments; those factors drive whether a fight is more likely to end early or on the scorecards. For this specific pairing, traders should consider the matchup context (ruleset, number of scheduled rounds, and any fight-week news) when evaluating possible outcomes.
Prices in a method market reflect the market’s collective expectation about how the fight will finish and will move as new information arrives (weigh-ins, injuries, corner changes, etc.). Use market moves as signals about changing information rather than fixed predictions.
The market close is listed as TBD; check the KALSHI market page for an official close time. Market liquidity and information availability change as the fight approaches — trading typically stops at or prior to market close and often locks once the bout begins, so later developments (weigh-ins, scratches) may not be tradable if they occur after close.
This market contains seven distinct method outcomes. Markets of this type commonly cover categories such as knockout/technical knockout, submission, decision (and sometimes variants like unanimous or split), disqualification, draw, no contest, and an 'other' or round-limited finish label. Consult the KALSHI market page for the exact outcome labels and definitions used here.
Resolution depends on the official result as reported by the event’s commission or promoter. Generally, a KO is an immediate incapacitating strike, a TKO covers referee/doctor/corner stoppages, and a doctor stoppage will be recorded as a TKO or specific stoppage type per official reporting. Rely on KALSHI’s stated resolution rules and the official event report for final settlement.
If the market separates decision types (for example, unanimous vs. split), the exact judges’ verdict reported officially will determine which outcome wins. If the market uses a single 'decision' label, any judges’ decision will typically settle that outcome. Always check the market’s labeling and KALSHI’s resolution guidelines to see how decisions are handled.
Watch the official weigh-ins (including any weight miss), medical clearances, late injury or withdrawal reports, corners or coaching changes, fight-week sparring/injury updates, and any statements about strategy or conditioning. Also confirm the ruleset and scheduled rounds for this pairing, since those details affect which method outcomes are plausible.