| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart | 46% | 45¢ | 46¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Tie | 26% | 25¢ | 26¢ | — | $242 | Trade → |
| Mainz | 30% | 29¢ | 30¢ | — | $99 | Trade → |
This market asks which of three match outcomes will occur in the Mainz vs Stuttgart soccer match. It matters because it aggregates real-money expectations about the match result and responds to news that can change the outlook quickly.
Mainz and Stuttgart are German professional clubs that regularly meet in Bundesliga competition; their matches are typically competitive and can influence league positioning and momentum. Historical results and tactical matchups between the two clubs provide context, but each fixture is influenced by short-term factors like form, availability, and scheduling.
Market prices reflect how traders collectively value each outcome given available information at the moment; they move as new information (lineups, injuries, weather, suspensions) arrives. Treat prices as a real‑time snapshot of market sentiment rather than a definitive prediction.
The listed close time is TBD; typically KALSHI markets for single-match outcomes close at or just before official kickoff, so expect the market to close before the match begins or when KALSHI sets a final close time.
This market trades three mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to the match result at full time: a Mainz win, a draw, or a Stuttgart win.
Settlement will be based on the match’s official final result at the end of regular time (including any added stoppage time), per the event rules; extra time or penalties are not applicable for standard league fixtures.
Key last-minute items include confirmed starting XIs, unexpected injuries or late withdrawals, managerial lineup changes, official suspension notifications, and adverse weather or pitch reports released before kickoff.
Head-to-head history offers useful context about tactical matchups and psychological trends but is only one input; combine it with current-season form, squad availability, venue, and recent managerial changes for a balanced assessment.