| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart | 50% | 20¢ | 49¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| Mainz | 0% | 10¢ | 41¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 24¢ | 54¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will be leading at halftime in the Mainz vs Stuttgart match (Mainz listed first). It matters because first-half leadership reflects early-game tactics and is a common short-duration trading proposition.
Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart are professional German clubs whose matches can be open and influenced by coaching approach and personnel. Historical head-to-heads, recent first-half patterns, and last‑minute lineup or injury news provide useful context for how the opening 45 minutes may unfold.
Market prices represent the crowd's assessment of the relative likelihood of each first-half result and will move as new information arrives. Use prices to read market sentiment and to compare against your own assessment of factors like lineups and tactics.
There are three outcomes: Mainz leading at halftime, a draw at halftime, and Stuttgart leading at halftime.
The close time for this market is listed as TBD; settlement normally occurs based on the official halftime score reported by the match organizers (score at the referee's whistle for the first half). Check the platform for the final close time and settlement confirmation.
Yes — the official first-half result includes any stoppage time added by the referee; the score at the referee's halftime whistle is used for settlement.
If the match does not reach a completed first half, settlement depends on the platform's rules; commonly such markets are voided and funds returned, but you should consult the market's specific terms and KALSHI's event rules.
Late lineup announcements (especially missing/added forwards or the goalkeeper), confirmed injuries or suspensions, last‑minute tactical notes from either manager, and any sudden changes in weather or pitch conditions are the most market‑moving items.