| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast | 19% | 18¢ | 19¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Tie | 23% | 19¢ | 22¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Macarthur | 62% | 61¢ | 62¢ | — | $314 | Trade → |
This prediction market lets traders take positions on the outcome of the Macarthur vs Central Coast match (three-way: Macarthur win, draw, Central Coast win). It matters because market prices synthesize public information about team form, injuries, and other match-day factors into a continuously updating signal.
Macarthur and Central Coast are professional Australian clubs whose league meetings have varied outcomes depending on squad availability, tactics, and home advantage. Historical results provide context but recent transfers, coaching changes, and short-term form often drive expectations for a specific fixture.
Market prices express the consensus view of traders about which outcome is most likely and move as new information arrives; interpret them as one dynamic input alongside team news, stats, and expert analysis rather than as a guaranteed prediction.
This market offers three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Macarthur win, a draw at full time, and a Central Coast win; settlement follows the official full-time result recorded by the competition organizers.
The market close time is listed as TBD; typically KALSHI-style sports markets close at or shortly before kickoff or when the organizer sets a specific cutoff, so monitor the market page for the announced closing time.
The outcome is determined by the match result as declared by the competition’s official match report at the end of regular time; extra time or penalty procedures only matter if the specific event rules state they apply.
Volume indicates the amount of money matched so far and provides a rough sense of liquidity and interest; higher volume generally improves price reliability and makes it easier to enter or exit positions, but interpret volume alongside bid-ask spreads and recent price movement.
Confirmed absences, late injury updates, or unexpected starting XI changes typically cause immediate price movement as traders reassess each side’s expected strength; monitor official team announcements and credible reporters before kickoff for the most impactful information.