| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky wins by over 7.5 Points | 49% | 51¢ | 53¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 8.5 Points | 49% | 45¢ | 49¢ | — | $40 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 10.5 Points | 41% | 35¢ | 41¢ | — | $23 | Trade → |
| LSU wins by over 4.5 Points | 13% | 13¢ | 21¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| LSU wins by over 2.5 Points | 19% | 18¢ | 27¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| LSU wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 21¢ | 28¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 54¢ | 60¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 22¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 8¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 25¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| LSU wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 32¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 68¢ | 74¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 64¢ | 70¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 58¢ | 63¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| LSU wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 23.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| LSU wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 22.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 20.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 15¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the point spread outcome for the LSU at Kentucky game; it aggregates public expectations about the margin of victory. It matters because market prices react rapidly to news that changes each team's chances of covering the spread.
LSU and Kentucky are NCAA programs with varying matchup implications depending on the season, conference standings, and roster turnover. Historical head-to-head results, recent form, coaching changes, and recruiting cycles all shape pregame expectations and therefore the spread market.
Market prices reflect the consensus view of which spread-range outcome is most likely and update as new information arrives; interpret movements as signals about changing information and sentiment rather than fixed predictions.
The 'Spread' market resolves based on the final point differential between LSU and Kentucky; each listed outcome corresponds to a specific spread range and the outcome matching the game’s final margin is the winner. Consult the market's rule page to see the exact mapping of score margins to outcome buckets.
The 22 outcomes break the full range of possible final margins into discrete buckets so traders can take positions on narrow or wide victory margins for either team. More outcomes allow finer-grained trading across different spread ranges.
'Closes: TBD' means KALSHI has not published a final trading cutoff yet; many sports markets close at official kickoff unless the platform announces otherwise. Watch the event page and platform notifications for the definitive close time.
Major moves usually follow official injury reports or starters being ruled out, announced lineup changes, severe weather forecasts, suspension news, or large directional trades. These items materially change the perceived margin and thus move prices quickly.
Track each team's announced starting quarterback, lead running back and top receivers, offensive and defensive line health, and any special-teams concerns. Coaching decisions (game plan, fourth-down tendencies) and updates to depth charts also meaningfully affect the expected margin.