| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn wins by over 8.5 Points | 56% | 55¢ | 56¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 11.5 Points | 41% | 41¢ | 43¢ | — | $806 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 5.5 Points | 67% | 63¢ | 67¢ | — | $528 | Trade → |
| LSU wins by over 7.5 Points | 4% | 4¢ | 10¢ | — | $222 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 14.5 Points | 29% | 29¢ | 35¢ | — | $132 | Trade → |
| LSU wins by over 1.5 Points | 21% | 14¢ | 19¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 20.5 Points | 15% | 12¢ | 17¢ | — | $31 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 2.5 Points | 71% | 73¢ | 77¢ | — | $30 | Trade → |
| LSU wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 9¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 23.5 Points | 0% | 5¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 19¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations for the final scoring margin between LSU and Auburn (the spread) and allocates positions across 11 possible spread outcomes. It matters because market prices aggregate information about injuries, weather, and in-game developments that influence the expected margin.
LSU and Auburn are Southeastern Conference (SEC) rivals with recurring matchups that can hinge on turnover margin, quarterback play, and coaching strategy. Historical results between these programs and recent season trajectories provide context, but each game is influenced by short-term factors like injuries, travel, and preparation. Because the market covers multiple discrete spread outcomes, traders can position for narrow or large margins depending on their view of those short-term variables.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants about which spread bracket will occur; movements typically incorporate new public information (injuries, weather, late lineup changes). Use prices as a real-time signal of shifting expectations, not guarantees of a result.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD; the market will close before or at kickoff based on the platform’s posted schedule—check the market page for updates and the official close announcement.
The 11 outcomes partition the possible final scoring margins into discrete spread brackets. Each outcome corresponds to a specific range or exact margin defined on the market page, allowing traders to express views on how large or small the final margin will be.
Rapid moves often follow major injury reports (especially at quarterback), confirmed starting-lineup changes, late weather updates, official suspension/news about coaching staffs, or unexpected betting flows that reveal new consensus information.
Settlement will be based on the official final game margin as recorded by the event platform and in accordance with the platform’s settlement rules; consult the market page or rules for details on ties, pushes, and which official source determines the score.
Monitor news feeds and lineup reports alongside price changes; treat rapid price shifts as signals to re-evaluate your information rather than guarantees. Manage risk with position sizing and consider liquidity—large spreads in price can reflect thin markets as well as new information.