| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | 62% | 13¢ | 62¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles C | 0% | 38¢ | 87¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side—Los Angeles C, Memphis, or a tie—will be leading at the official end of the first half. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game performance and respond quickly to lineup and in-game developments.
The market covers the head-to-head first-half result for a specific matchup between Los Angeles C and Memphis; it is listed on the KALSHI platform and shows modest early trading activity. Historical context for these teams (recent head-to-head trends, typical pacing and defensive profiles) can inform expectations, but each game can differ based on rotations and injuries.
Market prices express the collective view of traders about which outcome is most likely given available information and will move as new information arrives. Use prices as a real-time signal of market consensus rather than a guarantee of outcome.
It measures which team is leading on the official scoreboard at the end of the first half (or whether the score is tied), based on the league's official game statistics.
The three outcomes correspond to 'Los Angeles C leading at half,' 'Memphis leading at half,' and 'a tie at the end of the first half.'
If the first-half scoreboard is tied according to the league's official record, the market resolves to the tie outcome; check the platform's detailed resolution policy for any edge cases.
Resolution is based on the league's official end-of-first-half score as recorded by the official scorer; the platform will resolve once that official score is confirmed, per its rules.
Late announced injuries/scratches, unexpected starting lineup changes, and last-minute travel or illness reports tend to produce the largest pre-game price movements.