| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles C wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles C wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles C wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles C wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles C wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread range the final margin of the Los Angeles C at New Orleans game will fall into; it matters because spread-based markets summarize collective expectations about how lopsided the game will be. Traders use the market to express and monitor changing views on game competitiveness.
The event matches the Los Angeles C visiting New Orleans, two NBA teams whose matchup history, roster availability, and stylistic contrasts (pace, interior vs perimeter play) shape expectations. Factors such as recent form, injury reports, home-court advantage, and scheduling (back-to-back games or travel) typically influence the likely margin in head-to-head meetings.
Odds in a spread market indicate the market-implied likelihood of each margin range occurring; prices move as new information—injuries, starting lineups, rest, or in-season trends—arrives. Interpret prices as the market consensus at a moment in time rather than fixed forecasts.
The event page lists the close time as TBD; most spread markets close at or shortly before the scheduled tip-off unless the platform specifies otherwise. Resolution will be based on the market’s settlement rules and the official final score reported by the league; check the KALSHI event details for the definitive closing and settlement times.
Each of the 11 outcomes represents a discrete final-margin range (for example, specific buckets of points). After the game ends, the outcome whose defined margin range contains the official final margin is the winning outcome. Consult the event page to see the exact numeric boundaries for each bucket.
Most basketball spread markets settle using the official final score, which includes any overtime periods, unless the event rules explicitly state otherwise. Confirm on the KALSHI event description whether overtime is included for this specific market.
Key influences are the teams’ primary scorers and two-way wings, the starting point guard who controls pace and assists, the primary interior rebounder/shot-blocker, and bench scorers who provide depth. A change in availability or performance from those roles—especially a star-level player—tends to move expectations most.
Late scratches can materially change the expected margin; monitor official injury reports and starting lineup confirmations, as the market typically reacts quickly to that news. Settlement remains based on the actual final margin; traders often adjust positions as new information arrives but should review any platform-specific rules about trading cutoffs or halted trading.