| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 12.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many total runs will be scored in the game between Los Angeles A and Houston, letting traders express expectations about the combined offense of both teams. It matters because total-run markets synthesize information about pitching matchups, ballpark conditions, and lineups into a single, tradable outcome.
The market is hosted on KALSHI and currently lists 11 discrete outcomes; the official close time is listed as TBD, so traders should watch the platform for updates. Total-run predictions draw on historical scoring patterns, team offensive and pitching tendencies, and situational factors such as rest and lineup changes. Ballpark and weather characteristics also shape run environments and are often reflected quickly in market pricing once new information arrives.
Market odds aggregate participant expectations for the total runs scored in this specific game and will move as new information (starting pitchers, weather, injuries) becomes public. Use the odds to gauge consensus sentiment but always confirm outcome labels and settlement rules before trading.
The event page currently shows the close time as TBD; on KALSHI, markets typically close at or before the official game start, so check the platform for the finalized close time before placing trades.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific total-run bucket or exact total as labeled on the market page; the winning outcome is determined by the official total runs recorded in the final box score according to the platform's settlement rules, so review the outcome labels and settlement criteria before trading.
Starting pitcher announcements often cause the largest immediate price moves because they directly change expected run allowance and matchup dynamics; markets typically react quickly once the starters are confirmed, so expect shifts when the teams release their lineups.
Settlement for disruptions depends on KALSHI's official rules: some platforms use the official final score if the game is completed, while others may void or pause markets for suspended games; consult the event's settlement policy on the platform for the definitive rule.
Useful data includes each team's recent runs scored and allowed, starters' home/away and platoon splits, head-to-head trends at the hosting ballpark, park factor metrics, and current bullpen workloads; combining these with confirmed lineup and weather information gives the most complete pre-game picture.