| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles A wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles A wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles A wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which spread outcome will occur in the Los Angeles A vs Houston matchup; spread markets matter because they capture trader expectations about the margin of victory rather than simply who wins.
The spread reflects team matchups, pitching decisions, injuries, and situational factors for this particular game between Los Angeles A and Houston. Historical meetings, recent form, and last-minute roster or rotation changes often move the market, and this specific market offers six distinct spread outcomes for traders to choose from.
Market prices represent traders' aggregated views about which spread bucket will occur and will shift as new information (lineups, weather, injuries, scratches) arrives. Use the market page to monitor live price movements and final settlement details rather than a static snapshot.
This market is split into six distinct spread outcome buckets that cover a range of possible margins; the market page lists each bucket's definition (e.g., different ranges of run margins) so check there for the exact wording of all six outcomes.
The closing time is listed as TBD for now; typically the market will close at a time specified by the exchange (often around official game start) or earlier if KALSHI posts an updated close time, so monitor the market page and official announcements.
Settlement is based on the official final score and resulting margin as defined by KALSHI's rules for this event; if the game is postponed, suspended, or otherwise altered, settlement will follow the platform's published contingency and settlement policies.
Starting pitcher confirmations, late lineup cards or scratches, bullpen availability updates, and injury reports are the most market-moving announcements because they directly affect scoring and margin expectations.
Historical head-to-head and recent form provide context but should be balanced against immediate game-day factors like pitching matchups and injuries; markets often react more to current, high-salience information than to long-term trends.