| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins by over 1.5 goals | 42% | 38¢ | 41¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Wolverhampton wins by over 2.5 goals | 1% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $301 | Trade → |
| Liverpool wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 17¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wolverhampton wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 1¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the goal-spread outcome for the Liverpool at Wolverhampton match — useful for participants who want to speculate on margin of victory rather than simply which side wins. It matters because spreads markets aggregate public information about expected competitiveness between these two clubs.
Liverpool are traditionally a top-tier, attack-oriented team while Wolverhampton (Wolves) are often organized defensively and effective on counters; these contrasting styles shape spread expectations. Historical head-to-heads and each club’s season context (form, fixture congestion, competition commitments) influence how tight or wide the expected margin becomes.
Market prices on a spreads contract reflect traders’ collective view of which goal-margin bracket is most likely to occur; price movement signals new information being incorporated (lineups, injuries, weather, etc.). Traders should read the market’s outcome definitions on the platform to map prices to the specific margin ranges being offered.
The market close time is listed as TBD; on most platforms spread markets close before kickoff or at a platform-specified timestamp. Confirm the exact close time on the KALSHI market page and watch for any last-minute adjustments.
Each of the four outcomes corresponds to a mutually exclusive goal-margin bracket (different ranges of winning margins or covers). Consult the market’s outcome definitions on KALSHI to see the exact brackets that determine settlement.
Confirmed absences or surprise starters, especially among primary scorers or central defenders, typically shift expected margins quickly; bettors and traders often reprice spread outcomes in response to official team sheets and injury confirmations.
$2,017 indicates modest liquidity; lower volume markets can be more volatile and more sensitive to individual trades, so price moves may be larger and execution costs (slippage) greater than in highly liquid markets.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s rules: markets are typically voided or settled against a re-played fixture only according to platform policy, and official match reports or disciplinary rulings are used to determine final outcomes. Check KALSHI’s settlement policy for specifics.