| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Ortiz | 74% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Jon Rahm | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Anthony Kim | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Joaquin Niemann | 19% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Dean Burmester | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Bubba Watson | 16% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| David Puig | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Sebastian Munoz | 17% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Jose Luis Ballester | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Thomas Detry | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Harold Varner III | 17% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $833 | Trade → |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $788 | Trade → |
| Byeong Hun An | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $780 | Trade → |
| Paul Casey | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $778 | Trade → |
| Abraham Ancer | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $738 | Trade → |
| Cameron Smith | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $692 | Trade → |
| Laurie Canter | 19% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $612 | Trade → |
| Phil Mickelson | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $511 | Trade → |
| Richard T. Lee | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $500 | Trade → |
| Martin Kaymer | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $456 | Trade → |
| Danny Lee | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $456 | Trade → |
| Minkyu Kim | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $456 | Trade → |
| Sam Horsfield | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $252 | Trade → |
| Wade Ormsby | 89% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $177 | Trade → |
| Jason Kokrak | 17% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $150 | Trade → |
| Peter Uihlein | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $142 | Trade → |
| Elvis Smylie | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $111 | Trade → |
| Cameron Tringale | 17% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $65 | Trade → |
| Marc Leishman | 17% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $58 | Trade → |
| Talor Gooch | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $35 | Trade → |
| Matthew Wolff | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| Lee Westwood | 17% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $32 | Trade → |
| Charl Schwartzel | 17% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $31 | Trade → |
| Dustin Johnson | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $31 | Trade → |
| Thomas Pieters | 17% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $31 | Trade → |
| Adrian Meronk | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $25 | Trade → |
| Bjorn Hellgren | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $17 | Trade → |
| Sergio Garcia | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| Anirban Lahiri | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| Michael La Sasso | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charles Howell III | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scott Vincent | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ian Poulter | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Richard Bland | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tom McKibbin | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Younghan Song | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brendan Steele | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lucas Herbert | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Branden Grace | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Graeme McDowell | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miguel Tabuena | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yosuke Asaji | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ben Campbell | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Perez | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luis Masaveu | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Caleb Surratt | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will be listed as the leader on the official scoreboard at the end of Round 1 of the LIV Golf Hong Kong event; it matters because early leaders reflect strong starts and can influence in-play trading and betting decisions.
The market covers a single early-stage outcome in the LIV Golf Hong Kong stop, part of the LIV Golf series featuring a fixed field of professional players. Course setup, local conditions, and the particular composition of the LIV field at Hong Kong shape scoring behavior and who is likely to be atop the leaderboard after the first round.
Quoted market odds represent the aggregated views and money of participants about who will be the Round 1 leader and will update as new information arrives. Interpret prices as the market’s current consensus view that can change with tee times, weather, withdrawals, and real-time scoring updates.
The market resolves to the player who is shown as the official leader on the tournament’s Round 1 scoreboard after scores are confirmed by the event’s official scoring authority; settlement follows the exchange’s published rules.
Settlement occurs after the tournament’s Round 1 scores are officially finalized and published; the exact timing depends on when the event operator confirms scores and when the exchange processes that information — consult the market page for any settlement notices or updates.
Tie-handling is governed by the exchange’s specific market rules: some markets declare multiple winners and pay accordingly, others may have tie-break rules. Always check the Kalshi event rules or market description for the definitive tie resolution policy.
Prioritize tee time (early vs late conditions), recent short-term scoring form, course fit (players who perform well on similar surfaces or layouts), and putting/approach form — also monitor any practice round reports and travel or health updates.
Traded volume is a measure of liquidity and participant interest: higher volume tends to mean tighter spreads and easier order execution, while lower volume can produce more volatile price moves and less depth. Use current order-book depth and recent trade activity alongside volume when considering entry or exit.