| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Kim | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $247K | Trade → |
| Carlos Ortiz | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | — | $204K | Trade → |
| Jon Rahm | 42% | 41¢ | 42¢ | — | $181K | Trade → |
| David Puig | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $138K | Trade → |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $122K | Trade → |
| Tom McKibbin | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $114K | Trade → |
| Talor Gooch | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $102K | Trade → |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $91K | Trade → |
| Harold Varner III | 16% | 14¢ | 15¢ | — | $85K | Trade → |
| Joaquin Niemann | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $76K | Trade → |
| Dean Burmester | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | — | $73K | Trade → |
| Scott Vincent | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $68K | Trade → |
| Branden Grace | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $60K | Trade → |
| Thomas Detry | 20% | 19¢ | 20¢ | — | $54K | Trade → |
| Matthew Wolff | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $46K | Trade → |
| Sergio Garcia | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| Cameron Smith | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| Graeme McDowell | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| Younghan Song | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| Abraham Ancer | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| Peter Uihlein | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| Charles Howell III | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| Lucas Herbert | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Richard Bland | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Bubba Watson | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Lee Westwood | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Sam Horsfield | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| Jason Kokrak | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Thomas Pieters | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Paul Casey | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Josele Ballester | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Anirban Lahiri | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Sebastian Munoz | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Bjorn Hellgren | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Wade Ormsby | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Elvis Smylie | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Adrian Meronk | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Laurie Canter | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Marc Leishman | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Dustin Johnson | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Byeong Hun An | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Cameron Tringale | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Charl Schwartzel | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Phil Mickelson | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Resolved |
| Caleb Surratt | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Minkyu Kim | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Danny Lee | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Ben Campbell | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Victor Perez | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Ian Poulter | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Michael La Sasso | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $435 | Trade → |
| Yosuke Asaji | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $280 | Trade → |
| Richard T. Lee | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $82 | Trade → |
| Brendan Steele | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Luis Masaveu | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Martin Kaymer | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miguel Tabuena | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market determines the winner of the LIV Golf Hong Kong tournament, a high-stakes event on the LIV Golf League calendar. Participants trade shares to forecast which individual golfer will secure the top spot on the leaderboard after the final round.
LIV Golf tournaments feature a 54-hole format with no cut, significantly condensing the timeline compared to traditional 72-hole stroke-play events. The Hong Kong venue at The Hong Kong Golf Club presents unique challenges, including specific grass types and technical course layouts that favor precision over raw distance. Success depends on adapting to the venue's tight fairways and undulating greens over three days of intense competition.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how each golfer's current form, course suitability, and historical performance will impact the final standings as the tournament progresses.
Because there is no 36-hole cut and fewer total holes than a traditional PGA tournament, a single bad round is significantly harder to recover from, placing a premium on consistency.
Any golfer who withdraws or is disqualified during the event is considered a non-winner, rendering shares in that golfer worth zero.
No, this market tracks the individual champion only; team standings and individual scores remain independent categories in LIV Golf scoring.
The winner is the individual player officially credited with the lowest stroke total at the conclusion of the 54-hole tournament, including any subsequent playoff winners if a tie occurs.
Sudden weather changes in Hong Kong can create significant swings in expectation, as shifts in wind or rainfall can disproportionately affect later tee times compared to earlier groups.