| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Bryson DeChambeau | 97% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $12K | Resolved |
| Martin Kaymer | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| ✓ Jon Rahm | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Resolved |
| Yosuke Asaji | 15% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Resolved |
| Abraham Ancer | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Resolved |
| ✓ Anthony Kim | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Resolved |
| Lee Westwood | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Phil Mickelson | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $770 | Trade → |
| Talor Gooch | 15% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $588 | Resolved |
| Joaquin Niemann | 40% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $456 | Resolved |
| Dustin Johnson | 15% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $319 | Resolved |
| Bubba Watson | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $312 | Resolved |
| ✓ Tyrrell Hatton | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $300 | Resolved |
| ✓ Peter Uihlein | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $300 | Resolved |
| Ben Campbell | 58% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $295 | Resolved |
| Charles Howell III | 15% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $138 | Resolved |
| Ian Poulter | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $125 | Resolved |
| Thomas Pieters | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100 | Resolved |
| Harold Varner III | 12% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $94 | Resolved |
| Byeong Hun An | 38% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $88 | Resolved |
| Carlos Ortiz | 98% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $65 | Resolved |
| Michael La Sasso | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $36 | Resolved |
| Matthew Wolff | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $33 | Resolved |
| Sam Horsfield | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $23 | Resolved |
| Graeme McDowell | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $21 | Resolved |
| Richard Bland | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15 | Resolved |
| Thomas Detry | 12% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $12 | Resolved |
| Tom McKibbin | 15% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6 | Resolved |
| Sebastian Munoz | 15% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $4 | Resolved |
| Scott Vincent | 3% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $3 | Resolved |
| Adrian Meronk | 15% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3 | Resolved |
| Marc Leishman | 96% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $2 | Resolved |
| Caleb Surratt | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Brendan Steele | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jose Luis Ballester | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Dean Burmester | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Branden Grace | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Minkyu Kim | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Victor Perez | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Luis Masaveu | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Anirban Lahiri | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cameron Tringale | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Richard T. Lee | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cameron Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Charl Schwartzel | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Lucas Herbert | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Younghan Song | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| David Puig | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Bjorn Hellgren | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Danny Lee | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Elvis Smylie | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jason Kokrak | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Paul Casey | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sergio Garcia | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Laurie Canter | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market lets traders express views on which individual golfer listed will finish inside the top five at the LIV Golf Adelaide event. It matters because it aggregates diverse information—player form, conditions, and lineup changes—into a single, tradable signal.
LIV Golf is a professional circuit with an individual competition component alongside team scoring; its events commonly use a multi-round format without a traditional 36‑hole cut and often employ shotgun starts. The Adelaide stop is one tournament on that schedule, with a full field of entrants whose relative chances are shaped by course characteristics, recent form, and any late withdrawals or additions. Because LIV events and player movement can be fluid, markets for individual finishes can shift quickly as new information appears.
Market prices are a live snapshot of collective expectations and reflect how traders value each listed golfer’s chance to finish in the top five given current information. Treat prices as indicators that will move as practice rounds, weather, injuries, and lineup news arrive—not as fixed forecasts.
The market’s official close time is listed by the platform (currently shown as TBD); markets like this commonly close at or just before the tournament’s competitive start—check the Kalshi market page for the exact, up‑to‑date close time.
Each outcome typically represents an individual golfer entered in the Adelaide field; the winning outcome will be the named player who finishes inside the event’s top five, subject to the platform’s settlement rules.
Resolution details for ties and withdrawals follow the exchange’s published event rules—consult Kalshi’s market terms for tie‑breaking, voiding, or substitution policies because those specifics determine how outcomes settle.
Day‑to‑day scoring volatility, shifting wind or rain, pin placements that favor certain shot shapes, and unexpected withdrawals or standout rounds by under-the-radar players are common drivers of changes to top‑five outcomes.
Sharp moves usually indicate new, material information that traders expect to affect outcomes; they’re useful signals but can include noise—confirm the source of the news and consider whether the move reflects durable information or short‑term reaction before adjusting positions.