| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMBLE | 0% | 62¢ | 75¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colossal Gaming | 0% | 25¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market focuses on the winner of Map 3 between Colossal Gaming and HMBLE in the LIT 2026 event; map-level markets matter because they isolate short-term match dynamics and can move differently than full-match markets.
LIT 2026 is a tournament stage where map selection, vetoes, and momentum play a large role; Map 3 is often decisive in best-of-3 formats or a momentum indicator in longer series. Colossal Gaming and HMBLE bring different playstyles and map specializations, so past maps and recent form will be central to how the map plays out.
Market prices reflect the aggregated expectations of traders based on available information such as map pool, roster news, and recent results; they update as new information arrives and should be read as a real-time synthesis of known factors rather than a fixed prediction.
The event page currently lists the market close time as TBD; typical practice is that map markets close at or just before the official start time of that map. Check the exchange or the tournament schedule for the final listed map start time on match day.
Resolution follows the official tournament match result as published by the LIT 2026 organizers or the tournament's official scoreboard; the exchange will rely on those official results or an agreed arbiter for final settlement.
A last-minute substitution can materially change expectations and often triggers rapid market movement; the market will reflect that new information immediately, but the official market resolution still depends on the match as actually played with the substitute.
Markets resolve to the official map winner regardless of whether regulation or overtime decides it. If the tournament has special rules for unusually long maps or tie procedures, consult the exchange's rules for any edge-case handling.
Relevant history includes head-to-head map records, each team's win rates on the specific map played in Map 3, recent series outcomes, and how each team performs in deciding maps; use these patterns rather than raw counts to understand tendencies.