| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Leon wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Guadalajara wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Guadalajara wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread will resolve for the Liga MX match between Club León and Guadalajara (Chivas). It matters because spread-based markets let traders express views about the expected margin of victory and the competitive balance between the two teams.
León and Guadalajara are regular competitors in Mexico's top division; recent form, squad changes, and tactical matchups between the clubs can strongly affect expected margins. The market currently shows zero volume traded and a closing time listed as TBD, which means it's early and prices may change as pre-match information and participation arrive.
Market prices reflect the collective judgments of traders about which spread outcome is most likely; use prices to compare relative market confidence across outcomes rather than as fixed forecasts.
The market close time is listed as TBD; typically markets close shortly before kickoff to incorporate final lineup information. Settlement normally occurs after the match based on the official final score and the platform's settlement rules.
The four outcomes represent predefined spread buckets or handicap results used for settlement (for example, different margin ranges or which side covers the spread). The exact definitions are provided on the KALSHI market page and determine which outcome wins based on the official match margin.
Settlement follows the competition's official result and KALSHI's rulebook. Red cards and their impact on the final score are normally included; abandonment, postponement, or incomplete matches are handled per the market's stated voiding or rescheduling rules—consult the market terms for specifics.
Late injuries or confirmed lineup changes can materially shift market expectations and prices as traders update their views on each team's expected margin. Monitoring the market as lineup news is released helps capture how the market responds.
Yes. Zero or low volume indicates limited participation, which can produce larger price swings and less stable implied conclusions. Regardless of volume, settlement is always based on the official match outcome as specified by the market rules.