| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lecce wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lecce wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Roma wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which goal-difference range (spread) will occur in the Lecce at Roma match; it matters because spreads capture expected margins and are useful for traders who want exposure to how decisively one side will win rather than just who wins.
Roma and Lecce meet in a league fixture where club form, injuries and tactical matchups typically shape expectations; historically Roma have been the stronger side at home, but single-match variability can be large. The market is hosted on KALSHI with four discrete spread outcomes, and the listed close time is currently TBD, so timing and newsflow can change available information before trading ends.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about likely margins and will move as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather). Interpret changes as shifting market consensus about how large a margin of victory is expected to be rather than a binary win/loss forecast.
The four outcomes correspond to predefined goal-difference ranges set by the market (for example different bands of margin), and the exact numeric boundaries are listed on the KALSHI event page — consult that page for the official definitions and settlement rules.
The event currently shows the close time as TBD; KALSHI typically either closes markets shortly before kick-off or at a published cutoff — check the specific market page for the announced close time and any updates as the match approaches.
Starting XI and injury news materially affect expected margins: losing key defenders or strikers changes expected goals and defensive stability, so update your assessment when official lineups are posted (usually about an hour before kick-off) and monitor late injury reports.
A $0 volume indicates little or no trading activity so far, which often means lower liquidity and larger price movement from individual trades or news — exercise caution, because thin markets can be more volatile and harder to enter or exit at stable prices.
In-game events directly influence the final score and therefore which spread outcome occurs; settlement is based on the official match result and KALSHI’s published settlement rules, so live events matter for the final outcome even if trading closes before the match ends.