| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barcelona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atletico Madrid | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Villarreal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Athletic Bilbao | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Betis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Real Sociedad | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Girona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Celta Vigo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Valencia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sevilla | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Getafe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Espanyol | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Osasuna | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alaves | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mallorca | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Levante | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rayo Vallecano | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elche | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oviedo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market covers which teams and scenarios will result in relegation from La Liga for the current season; it matters because relegation has major sporting and financial consequences for clubs, players, and stakeholders.
La Liga traditionally relegates the lowest-placed clubs to the second division, making the bottom part of the table highly contested late in the season. The market offers 20 distinct outcomes representing specific relegation scenarios; outcomes and settlement will follow official league standings and tie-breaker rules.
Market prices aggregate trader expectations and respond to new information (results, injuries, sanctions); treat them as a real-time signal of market sentiment rather than a guaranteed prediction.
Resolution will follow the official La Liga final table and any applicable tie-breakers once the season concludes; the market’s close time is listed as TBD and the outcome will be settled according to the league’s published, final standings and official communications.
The 20 outcomes correspond to the specific scenarios shown on the market page (for example, individual teams or combinations as worded there); check each outcome label carefully because settlement will follow those exact definitions.
La Liga’s competition rules govern relegation—typically the bottom three teams are relegated—with tie-breakers based on head-to-head records, goal difference and other league-specified criteria; the market uses those official rules for settlement.
Yes. Any official administrative decisions, sanctions, or successful appeals that alter the final standings will affect settlement; the market follows official rulings from La Liga, the RFEF, or relevant authorities when determining outcomes.
Key movers are late-season head-to-head results among relegation rivals, sudden injuries or suspensions to pivotal players, managerial appointments or dismissals, transfer-window activity that strengthens or weakens squads, and any official disciplinary or administrative news.