| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Nemesis | 72% | 71¢ | 72¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
| kONO.ECF | 0% | 25¢ | 28¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win the matchup between kONO.ECF and Team Nemesis. It matters because it lets traders express views on the head-to-head outcome and react to game-day information that affects the result.
This is a two-outcome sports market for a specific match-up on KALSHI; the market will settle to whichever side is declared the official winner. Context that typically matters includes the competition or league this match is part of, the stage of the event (group stage, playoff, friendly), and any recent roster or coaching changes for either side.
Market prices reflect the consensus of participants and update as new information arrives — they are a real-time aggregation of traders' views and risk preferences. Use them as a dynamic signal, but complement them with underlying event information (lineups, injuries, schedule) before trading.
Settlement will be based on the official match result used by the market operator (KALSHI); the side declared the official winner is the outcome that pays. Check the market rules or event page for the operator's exact settlement criteria.
This market's close time is listed as TBD on the event page. The market will typically stop accepting trades shortly before the match begins and will settle after the official result is posted; follow the market page for final timing and updates.
High-impact items include confirmed starting lineups, last-minute injuries or substitutions, official changes to match format or schedule, and authoritative tournament announcements. Live in-game events also move prices if the market remains open during play.
Focus on the teams' primary scorers or playmakers, the in-game leader or coach decisions that affect strategy, and any recent signings or role changes. Also consider bench depth and specialists who influence particular match conditions (e.g., map-specific players or set-piece takers).
Give more weight to recent form when sample sizes are small or rosters have changed; head-to-head is informative when lineups and tactics are stable. Consider opponent quality, context of past meetings, and whether past matches were under similar conditions (same format, maps, or stakes).