| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky wins by over 3.5 Points | 50% | 48¢ | 50¢ | — | $82 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 9.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 12.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 6.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 18.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri wins by over 12.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 15.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri wins by over 9.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri wins by over 6.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri wins by over 3.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the point-spread outcome of the Kentucky at Missouri game, a way to express expectations about the margin of victory. It matters to fans and bettors who want to hedge exposure or speculate on the game’s likely margin rather than just the winner.
Kentucky and Missouri are long-established collegiate programs that meet under conference scheduling, and historical matchups, travel, and roster continuity can all shape how the spread forms. The matchup’s style — pace, offensive/defensive tendencies, and coaching matchup — often drives how lines move in the days and hours before the game.
Each outcome’s price reflects how the market collectively assesses the likelihood of that specific spread range; comparing prices across outcomes shows which margins traders favor. Remember that prices update as new information (injuries, starting lineups, weather, rest) arrives, and the market represents a real-time consensus rather than a fixed prediction.
Settlement is based on the official final margin of the Kentucky at Missouri game as published by the sport’s governing/statistics authority; the outcome that covers the market’s predefined margin range at final whistle will be settled as the winner according to platform rules.
This market’s close time is listed as TBD on the platform; typically spread markets close shortly before the scheduled game start or at kickoff, so check the KALSHI interface for the definitive cutoff.
The ten outcomes partition the possible final margins into discrete ranges (for example, favoring one team by various margin bands); each outcome’s price indicates the market’s current consensus about the probability of that particular margin range.
Low volume means liquidity is limited, so prices may move sharply on small trades and be more volatile or less informative than in highly traded markets; exercise caution and consider that a few trades can disproportionately influence quoted prices.
Platform settlement follows its posted contingency rules: many exchanges void or reschedule markets if a game is canceled/postponed beyond a set window, while overtime is typically included in the final margin for spread settlement — confirm KALSHI’s official rules for this event.