| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 51% | 45¢ | 51¢ | — | $56 | Trade → |
| Kansas wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 25¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the first-half point margin in the Kansas vs Arizona St. game, offering a focused way to speculate on how the teams perform in the opening half. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game dynamics and can respond quickly to starting lineups, tipoff conditions, and first-quarter momentum.
The market is built around the official halftime score of the Kansas vs Arizona St. matchup and is hosted on KALSHI; it currently shows modest liquidity with $56 total volume and 10 outcome options. Historical matchups, recent form in opening halves, coaching tendencies on fast starts or slow openings, and visible in-game news (starters, injuries, travel) all shape how this market moves, and settlement timing is governed by the sport's official halftime rules.
Market prices reflect how traders collectively value each first-half spread outcome and update as new information arrives; interpret prices as a real-time aggregation of available market views rather than fixed predictions.
The market typically closes at or immediately before the official game opening (tipoff/kickoff); KALSHI will display the exact close time on the event page — currently listed as TBD for this market.
First Half refers to the official halftime score as defined by the sport in question (for example, college football halves are 30 minutes and college basketball halves are 20 minutes); the market settles based on the official score at that halftime point.
Each outcome corresponds to a particular first-half spread interval or side (e.g., team A by X, team B by Y); check the event page for the exact labels — traders buy outcomes that align with their view of the halftime margin.
Late injuries or scratches typically move the market quickly because they directly alter expected first-half production; traders adjust positions in response to official announcements, and prices will reflect the new consensus through available liquidity.
Focus on recent head-to-head first-half margins (if available), each team's recent first-half scoring and defensive splits, and tendencies for early runs or slow starts — these trends are more predictive for a halftime spread than full-game aggregates.