| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas St. wins by over 31.5 Points | 5% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $230 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 10.5 Points | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $180 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 7.5 Points | 6% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $166 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 13.5 Points | 4% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $150 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 28.5 Points | 5% | 3¢ | 95¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 16.5 Points | 5% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $61 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 19.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 25.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 22.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market trades the point-spread outcome for the Kansas State at Kansas college football game, letting traders express expectations about the final margin. It matters because spread markets aggregate public and informed views about which team will outperform the other by how much.
Kansas State and Kansas meet as conference rivals in the Big 12; historical program strength, recent season form, and the current coaching staffs shape pregame expectations. Home-field advantage in Lawrence, recent head-to-head trends, and any roster or injury developments in the days leading up to the game will all influence how participants price the spread.
Prices in this market reflect how traders collectively view the likelihood of each margin range outcome: higher-priced outcomes indicate stronger market belief that that particular margin range will occur. Watch price movement and volume for signals about new information (injuries, weather, lineup news) being incorporated.
The official close time is listed as TBD for this market; exchanges typically close spread markets at or just before kickoff, so monitor the KALSHI interface for the finalized close time and any last-trade window.
The 11 outcomes partition the possible final scoring margins into mutually exclusive bins (ranges of point differentials and any push/tie outcome). Each outcome resolves true if the final official margin falls inside that outcome's defined range—see the market description on KALSHI for the exact bins.
Treat verified late injury reports as high-impact information: they often prompt rapid price shifts. Traders typically wait for official injury designations from teams or the league before adjusting sizable positions, and many use staged orders or hedges to manage risk around such announcements.
Look at recent head-to-head results, how Kansas State performs on the road versus how Kansas defends at home, turnover tendencies, and any season-long trends (offensive/defensive efficiency, third-down defense). Coaching styles and in-game decision patterns for the two head coaches are also relevant.
The winning outcome settles to the exchange's fixed settlement value and is paid to holders of that contract; all other outcomes expire worthless. Settlement timing follows verification of the official final score and any applicable league rulings, as specified by KALSHI.