| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mac Jones | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anthony Richardson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyrod Taylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Garrett Nussmeier | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ty Simpson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Oladokun | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tanner McKee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Justin Fields | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gardner Minshew | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacoby Brissett | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Patrick Mahomes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Flacco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will be listed as the Kansas City Chiefs' Week 1 starting quarterback. It matters because the Week 1 starter signals the team's immediate game plan and affects betting, fantasy, and roster expectations for the season opener.
Week 1 starting-QB questions typically hinge on offseason developments: competition in training camp, preseason performance, injuries, and any roster or disciplinary changes. For an established franchise quarterback, markets often reflect incumbent status and team stability; for a transitional situation, they reflect an active competition and higher volatility. This specific market lists multiple named outcomes to capture potential starters and late changes.
Prediction market prices represent traders' aggregated opinions about who will be listed as the Week 1 starter and will update as new, verifiable information appears. Treat them as real-time indicators that respond quickly to official announcements, injury reports, and team communications rather than fixed forecasts.
Resolution typically depends on the market's published rules but for Week 1 QB markets it generally follows the official game-day starter as listed on the team’s or league’s official reports near kickoff; check the market page for the precise resolution rule and timestamp.
Key sources are the Chiefs’ official depth chart and game-day inactive/active lists, NFL game-day reports, coach press conferences, and verified team announcements; reliable beat reporters and official injury reports are the earliest market-moving items.
Markets of this type usually use the official pre-game or game-day designation; a last-minute change announced by the team or reflected on the NFL’s official game-day report is often used for resolution, so late-day changes can be decisive.
Injuries, concussions, or contractual holdouts that alter availability are primary drivers of market movement—if an incumbent is limited or inactive, backups rise in relevance; market participants watch practice reports and medical designations closely for such developments.
Consider the franchise’s recent tendency toward quarterback continuity, coach preference for proven starters versus merit-based competitions, and how past preseason competitions resolved; teams with long-tenured starters are less likely to switch absent clear injury or off-field issues.