| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 12.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell outcomes tied to the combined number of runs scored in the Kansas City vs Atlanta game. It matters because collective market prices synthesize news about pitching, lineups, weather, and other game-day factors that drive scoring.
Kansas City and Atlanta are regular opponents in Major League Baseball, and total runs markets capture whether the game will be a low-scoring pitchers' duel or a high-scoring offensive contest. Historical matchups, ballpark characteristics, and each club's offensive and pitching tendencies all feed into expectations for total runs without requiring specific real-time statistics.
Market prices reflect traders' aggregated views about which run-range outcome is most likely and will move as new information arrives; interpret price movement as shifting expectations rather than fixed predictions.
Starting pitcher announcements are among the highest-impact updates—different starters change strikeout, walk, and run-allowance expectations, which tend to shift prices for low- versus high-run outcomes once lineups are confirmed.
Each outcome corresponds to a mutually exclusive range of combined runs scored in the game (for example, discrete buckets from very low totals to very high totals); only the single bucket that contains the official final run total will resolve as the winning outcome.
Resolution procedures are determined by the event host (KALSHI); typically markets reference the official game result as recorded by the league, and any postponement or suspension guidance will be posted on the event page—check the platform’s resolution rules for definitive action.
Expect the largest moves around key information releases: final starting pitcher and lineup confirmations, late scratch or injury reports, and short-term weather updates affecting the ballpark.
Smaller fields, warm temperatures, and wind blowing out generally increase the likelihood of higher run totals, while large parks, cool temperatures, and wind blowing in suppress scoring—combine those conditions with pitcher and lineup information to assess which run-range bucket is more plausible.