| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austin Riley: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bobby Witt Jr.: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bobby Witt Jr.: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jac Caglianone: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jac Caglianone: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Maikel Garcia: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Maikel Garcia: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Olson: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Olson: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Harris: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Harris: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ozzie Albies: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ozzie Albies: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ronald Acuña Jr.: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ronald Acuña Jr.: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Salvador Perez: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Salvador Perez: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vinnie Pasquantino: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vinnie Pasquantino: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the listed outcomes will match the number of home runs hit in the Kansas City vs Atlanta game. It matters because home-run outcomes are high-impact events that can move prices quickly and reward event-specific information.
The market sits on a single game between Kansas City and Atlanta and will settle against official game statistics; the specific mapping of outcomes determines whether it measures total team home runs, combined totals, or player-specific events. Historical team power profiles, ballpark effects, and the active pitching and lineup decisions entering the game are the main background considerations traders use to form views.
Market prices reflect the collective expectation for which outcome will occur and should be read as conditional signals that incorporate current public information. Use prices alongside independent information (lineups, weather, pitching matchups) rather than as definitive forecasts.
They represent the discrete settlement possibilities defined by the contract (for example ranges of total home runs or distinct player-event outcomes). Consult the market description on the event page to see the exact mapping from outcome labels to settlement conditions.
The close time is listed as TBD on the event page; in practice, markets typically set a close time (often at or just before first pitch) that traders should confirm on the contract page because the close determines the last moment new information can be priced in.
Starting pitchers influence home-run outcomes via their homer/FB rates, pitch repertoire, velocity, and handedness relative to opposing hitters; a flyball-heavy starter facing power hitters increases the chance of homers, while high-strikeout or groundball pitchers suppress homer expectations.
Settlement follows the official game statistics as recorded by the league’s official scorer for that game; only plays ruled official home runs count. Check the market's settlement rules for details on suspended or postponed games.
Watch the teams' announced starting lineups, late scratches, and bullpen usage reports released before first pitch, and track weather updates; those items materially change the profile of home-run risk and should be incorporated before the market closes.