| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta -2.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta -1.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas City -1.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas City -2.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the run-differential between Kansas City and Atlanta after the first five innings of the scheduled game. It matters because the first five innings isolate starting pitchers and early offensive strategy, which often drive short-term market movements.
Kansas City and Atlanta are MLB clubs with distinct roster constructions and seasonal trends; first-five-innings outcomes tend to reflect each club's starting rotation quality, offensive approach, and lineup decisions. Historical head-to-head results and recent team form can color expectations, but single-game variance and matchup specifics are usually decisive.
Odds in this market summarize the crowd’s assessment of which of the four mutually exclusive first-five-innings outcomes is most likely given available information. Treat the market as a dynamic signal that updates when new information arrives (lineup changes, weather, scratches, pitcher reports).
The outcome is determined by the official run differential between Kansas City and Atlanta after five completed innings, as recorded by the league's official scorer and subject to the platform's settlement rules.
The market offers four mutually exclusive outcomes that partition possible first-five-innings results (different run-differential ranges or labeled outcomes); the exact labels and boundaries for those four outcomes are shown on the market page.
Close time is listed as TBD on the event page; typically the platform will set a close before or at first pitch and the market settles after five completed innings or per the platform's published resolution timing—watch the market page for the official close and settlement schedule.
Starting pitcher announcements and late scratches are among the most impactful inputs because this market covers only the early innings; a change in the scheduled starter or an injury report can materially shift expectations for run scoring in innings one through five.
Resolution follows the platform's published rules and official MLB determinations: if five innings are not completed the market may be voided, delayed until the game is completed, or settled according to specific contingency rules—check KALSHI's event and settlement policies for exact procedures.