| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles G wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles G wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas City wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which point-spread outcome will apply to the Kansas City at Los Angeles game; spread markets matter because they summarize market expectations for the margin of victory and are used by traders to express views or hedge exposure.
The market presents four discrete spread outcomes for a single Kansas City at Los Angeles contest and is sourced from KALSHI; final resolution depends on the game’s official final score and any contract-specific settlement rules. Historical head-to-head results, current-season form, and roster availability typically drive how these spread buckets are priced once trading begins.
In a spread market, each outcome corresponds to a range of final-score margins; market prices reflect collective judgement about which range is most likely and will move as new information (injuries, weather, lineup announcements) arrives.
This specific market’s close time is listed as TBD; in practice spread markets typically close shortly before kickoff, but you should check the KALSHI market page for the official close time for this event.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined margin-range for the final score; the winning outcome is the range that contains the official final margin as reported by the event’s designated official source. Consult the contract specification on the market page for the exact margin boundaries that define the four outcomes.
A late injury will typically move market prices as traders update expectations; it does not change settlement rules — the contract still resolves to the outcome matching the official final margin — but prices and available liquidity may shift substantially in response to the announcement.
Look at recent head-to-head margins, each team’s scoring and defensive yardage trends, performance against similar opponent styles, and situational factors like home vs. away splits and short-week effects; those patterns help assess whether one team typically outperforms market expectations in comparable matchups.
Settlement uses the official final score including any overtime points, so the final margin after overtime is what determines which spread range applies. Verify the market’s settlement rules on the KALSHI contract page for confirmation.