| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas wins by over 5.5 Points | 52% | 50¢ | 52¢ | — | $78K | Trade → |
| Kansas wins by over 2.5 Points | 65% | 62¢ | 65¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Kansas wins by over 8.5 Points | 42% | 39¢ | 42¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Kansas wins by over 11.5 Points | 27% | 26¢ | 31¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Kansas wins by over 17.5 Points | 16% | 12¢ | 15¢ | — | $526 | Trade → |
| Kansas wins by over 14.5 Points | 18% | 19¢ | 23¢ | — | $215 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. wins by over 7.5 Points | 14% | 11¢ | 15¢ | — | $83 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. wins by over 4.5 Points | 16% | 16¢ | 21¢ | — | $59 | Trade → |
| Kansas wins by over 20.5 Points | 3% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $44 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. wins by over 1.5 Points | 25% | 25¢ | 30¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread will resolve for Kansas at Arizona St., letting traders buy the outcome they expect for the margin of victory. It matters because the spread market aggregates information about game expectations and can move as new information arrives.
Kansas visiting Arizona State is a matchup where home advantage, recent form, injuries, and matchup styles typically drive public and professional interest. Whether this is a conference or non-conference meeting, roster turnover and the season’s timing (early season versus late) will change how reliable past results are for predicting the outcome. The market’s structure and number of outcomes let traders express views about fine-grained margin ranges rather than just a binary win/loss.
Prices in this spread market represent the collective expectations of traders about which margin bracket will occur and will change with new information like injury news, weather, or line moves. They are a snapshot of market sentiment, not a fixed prediction.
The event page shows the market closes as TBD; typically spread markets close at or shortly before game kickoff or when the platform locks trading — check the KALSHI page for the official closing time as it will be posted or updated there.
The 11 outcomes represent different spread-range buckets (distinct margin outcomes) that let traders express expectations about how many points one team will win or cover by, rather than a single binary result.
Total volume traded measures how much money has been put into this market and is a rough indicator of liquidity and participation; higher volume generally means prices incorporate more information and are easier to trade against, but volume alone does not guarantee accuracy.
Significant late injuries or lineup changes typically cause rapid price movement as traders update assessments of each team’s expected margin; the magnitude of the move depends on the affected players’ roles and the timing relative to market close.
Head-to-head history can inform expectations, but its relevance depends on recency, roster continuity, and whether those games reflect current styles; traders weigh past meetings alongside current-season performance and personnel changes.