| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper De Jong | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yannick Hanfmann | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player—Jesper De Jong or Yannick Hanfmann—will win the second set of their match. Set-level markets matter because they isolate short-term factors (momentum, physical condition, tactical adjustments) that can differ from the overall match outcome.
Jesper De Jong and Yannick Hanfmann are competing in a standard best-of-match tennis contest; this market concerns only the second set of that match. Hanfmann is typically a powerful baseliner with a strong serve and experience on the main tour, while De Jong is a younger, aggressive player known for moving forward and taking opportunities; their recent form, surface, and head-to-head history can all shape how the second set unfolds. The market is hosted on KALSHI and offers two mutually exclusive outcomes—one for each player winning set 2.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of traders about who will win the second set and update as match events and new information arrive. Interpret quotes as a snapshot of sentiment and factors valued by the market rather than fixed predictions; they can change quickly with on-court developments.
It resolves on the official result of the second set of their match as recorded by the tournament: the outcome is whichever player is credited with winning set 2 according to the official scoreline.
The listed close time is TBD; final closure typically occurs according to the platform schedule (often before or at match start) or per the market creator. Check the KALSHI market page for the definitive close time and any updates.
Settlement follows the official tournament record and KALSHI's rules: if the second set is not played or not completed, the market will be settled according to the platform's stated policy (for example using the official score at the time of stoppage or voiding the market); consult the market rules on KALSHI for precise procedures.
No—this market only rewards the player who wins the second set, but the first-set result is an important predictor because it can influence momentum, risk-taking, and physical state entering set 2.
Watch serve hold/break events, return quality on second serves, visible fatigue or limping, between-set treatment or coaching, and any change in tactics (e.g., moving the return position); those factors tend to have immediate impact on the likelihood of winning the next set.