| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky wins by over 22.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 31.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 28.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky wins by over 25.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which point-spread interval the final margin of the James Madison at Kentucky game will fall into; it matters because it aggregates trader expectations about the likely margin of victory and provides a way to express views on how competitive the game will be.
The matchup pits a program from a smaller conference against a program from a power conference, a common pairing that tests depth, talent, and matchup advantages. Historical outcomes between unequal programs can vary widely—power-conference teams often have advantages in recruiting and depth, while mid‑major teams can profit from favorable matchups, hot shooting, or motivated game plans.
Each outcome represents a discrete range of final margins; market prices reflect the collective market view about which range is most likely and will move as new information (injuries, line moves, starting lineups) arrives.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined final-margin interval (for example, specific point ranges) set by the platform; consult the market labels on the event page to see the exact intervals that will determine settlement.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD; the platform will publish the official closing time—markets commonly close at or just before the game's official start per the exchange’s rules.
Settlement is based on the official final margin from the game’s official box score or the platform’s designated data source; overtime points are normally included and any tie/push provisions follow the exchange’s published settlement rules.
Late injury reports and confirmed starting lineups, official depth-chart notes, announced coaching decisions, significant betting-line movements at major sportsbooks, and weather or travel disruptions (if applicable) are the most market-moving items.
A day‑of absence will typically affect market prices by shifting sentiment toward the alternative outcomes, but it does not change how the market settles—the final outcome is still determined by the official final margin per the platform’s settlement policy; check the exchange’s rules for any specific voiding or adjustment conditions.